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The port city of Sohar is the new gateway
to prosperity for the country and its people. Srinivasan Iyer
reports
The stage is set for Sohar to make its impact and show the
world its true potential. Over the course of the next few
months many multibillion-dollar, high-profile projects will
come onstream and change the face of Al Batinah region and
its contribution to the sultanate’s economy.
Jan Meijer, CEO of Sohar Industrial Port Company (SIPC), has
witnessed the birth and growth of this unique industrial port
and its complementary facilities. “Five years ago not a single
contract was signed. The developments you see today – the
urea, aluminium, iron and steel and petrochemical plants –
have taken place only over the last four years. Now we will
start reaping the fruits of that labour.”
Indeed, in the next few months the city will witness heightened
momentum and soon see the likes of Sohar Aluminium, Shadeed
Iron and Steel, PVAXX Industries, SAG Sohar, Sohar International
Urea and Chemical Industries (SIUCI) start churning out their
output. Work is progressing furiously at the US$2.4bn Sohar
Aluminium plant and the first metal could be poured out as
early as June this year.
This greenfield project is expected to have a dramatic impact
on the socio-economic growth of the Batinah region, and support
the wider national economy. Also nearing completion are SIUCI
and Shadeed Iron and Steel. When operational, SIUCI will have
a production capacity of 3,500 tonnes of granular urea and
2,000 tonnes of ammonia per day. The Shadeed Iron and Steel
project, comprising a 1.5mn tonnes per year direct reduction
iron (DRI) plant, will be operational by the fourth quarter
of this year.
The reasons for the proliferation of manufacturing units in
Sohar are not far to seek. A major magnet is world-class infrastructure,
whose backbone includes a state-of-the-art port with dedicated
berths for liquid cargo, bulk cargo, general cargo and container
traffic, low tariffs, adequate power supply and cheap and
assured gas supplies. The port is also on an important trade
route with easy access to the rest of the Gulf and increasingly
important markets like India, China and Southeast Asia.
As the port is located outside the strait of Hormuz, shipping
companies are not liable to pay higher insurance premiums
that are usually applicable when ships enter the Gulf. According
to figures available from SIPC, investments in Sohar port
area exceed US$12bn.
Test of diversification
For Oman, this is also a test of its diversification plans
to reduce its dependence on oil and gas as a major revenue
generator. Oil and gas accounted for nearly 70 per cent of
gross domestic product (GDP) in 2007. Oil production has been
falling at a compounded annual rate of 4.5 per cent over the
last four years. Figures released by Petroleum Development
Oman in February show that output, which reached 700,000 barrels
per day (bpd) in 2003, fell to 561,000bpd in 2007. The consensus
is that Oman was compelled to diversify and the Sohar strategy
has worked well. The response from domestic and international
investors has been overwhelming and has taken the government
by surprise
.
"The commissioning of these projects will instantly add
between 1-1.5 per cent to the GDP this year. Going forward,
Sohar is easily expected to contribute between 3-4 per cent,"
says V Gowribalan, vice president - asset management, Fincorp.
The sultanate has not placed all its eggs in the manufacturing
basket and anticipates tourism to pay off handsomely as well.
Gowribalan explains that returns from manufacturing are expected
to be steady compared to tourism, which is far more seasonal
in nature. Besides, the tourism infrastructure is not yet
fully ready. Oman is an emerging destination and it needs
to be marketed heavily overseas before returns start accruing.
Most analysts agree that developed economies such as the US,
UK, Germany and Japan initially started off with a strong
manufacturing base. Emerging powerhouses like China and India
have moved into higher gear thanks to their industrial capabilities.
Employment opportunities
The benefits of a strong manufacturing base are manifold.
It will result in more jobs, stimulate downstream industries
and generate export revenue. According to Gowribalan, the
large-scale projects will directly employ at least 8,000 people.
"However, this will have a multiplier effect. There will
be more supermarkets, taxis, restaurants and schools, which
will require a lot more people." Sohar at present is
a city of approximately 100,000 people. As the industries
continue to grow, the city and its adjoining areas would have
a population of at least 500,000 in the next five years.
This phenomenon has a wider significance for the Batinah region
as it means more employment for nationals. Says Tony Kinsman,
CEO, Sohar Aluminium, "We have 850 people on board now
and we will be employing a total of 1,000 once the smelter
is fully operational. We are recruiting Omani personnel and
we will continue to recruit people from the region. Although
we are having some difficulty in recruiting skilled technical
staff with five to ten years experience, we are training and
grooming young Omanis who will eventually fill senior technical
and management positions. And as their skills grow, they will
command good remuneration."
B N Singh, managing director of Shadeed Iron and Steel, agrees.
Singh is personally visiting various institutes like Sohar
University, Sultan Qaboos University, Sohar Institute of Technology
and Technical Skills Institute to recruit personnel. "We
will be recruiting as much local staff as possible. My philosophy
is to induct inexperienced but qualified candidates. We will
train them so that they can gradually take over." Analysts
agree that Omanisation is the way to go given the shortage
of skilled talent.
Downstream potential
Others like Meijer expect the quantum of employment opportunities
created by downstream industries to be much more than the
mega projects. “The challenge now is to build it out further.
Now that the base industries are already there, it is time
to get the downstream industries going. These require a lot
less investment and generate a lot more employment,” says
Meijer. The focus will now be on downstream industries. Although
the likes of Alcan and Mitsui have signed up to take a big
chunk of Sohar Aluminium and Shadeed Iron and Steel's production,
the manufacturers have earmarked a part of their output for
domestic consumption. Says Singh, "Shadeed will first
meet the requirements of companies in Oman, followed by those
in the GCC and then look at international exports."
Again, at least 60 per cent of Sohar Aluminium's total output
of hot metal is earmarked for downstream industries in Sohar.
SAGTAK will source aluminium in liquid form from Sohar Aluminium
where value-added products like aluminium busbars, rods, cables
and billets will be produced.
Singh goes on to add that the availability of hot briquetted
iron from Shadeed will create opportunities for electric arc
furnaces and rolling mills, which in turn will churn out value-added
products. These downstream industries will in essence thrive
because of Sohar's cluster development model that allows companies
to leverage their synergies when operating within a cluster.
Besides sharing the same infrastructure and utilities, members
of a cluster will also benefit from economies of scale. Right
now there are three clusters – petrochemicals, metals and
logistics.
The idea of an agro-processing cluster looks promising with
an agreement signed by Al Hafri Sugar Refinery to set up an
integrated sugar refinery complex. Exports Even after the
domestic demand is met, there will be ample scope for exports.
Aromatics Oman's entire output of 814,000 tonnes of paraxylene
and 210,000 tonnes of benzene are slated for exports. PVAXX,
which will produce shipping pallets, intends to capture a
significant share of the fragmen-ted, but rapidly expanding,
global pallet market estimated to be worth US$30bn annually
through its revolutionary recyclable pallets. Similarly, SIUCI
is well positioned to cater to the growing demand for urea,
which is currently pegged at 130-135mn tonnes per year and
seen growing at 2-3mn tonnes per year.
Even Oman Polypropylene and Oman Methanol have set their sights
on exports. These exports can be further developed as practically
every company has put in place future expansion plans.
However, those plans hinge on the availability of gas supplies.
Oman has so far committed all its gas supplies till 2012.
SIUCI says it is prepared to undertake an expansion to double
its capacity provided it gets new allocation of gas supplies.
Shadeed Iron and Steel also has plans to double its capacity,
but that too hinges on the availability of gas. There are
at least six petrochemical ventures and all of them have made
provisions for future capacity expansions. Says Meijer, "The
lack of availability of gas is not going to be a limiting
factor. There are pipelines emerging everywhere and the problem
of lack of availability of gas will definitely be solved."
Long-term security of gas supply is literally in the pipeline
thanks to the Dolphin Project, which will bring gas from Qatar's
North Field, the world's largest known reserves.
Airport appeal
While the primary focus is on the industrial infrastructure,
the government is seriously addressing the transport infrastructure
in the region, with an airport planned in Sohar. Sohar's appeal
will climb a notch once the airport is ready. Work on the
design of the airport, which will be capable of accommodating
the Airbus A380 super-jumbo, has already started. The airport's
development will be overseen by the Ministry of Transport
and Communications, and is part of broader plan to improve
the transport infrastructure. The proposed airport will be
designed to cater to 500,000 passengers per year and will
have the capacity to handle 100,000 tonnes of cargo per year.
Opinion, however, is divided on whether the airport will live
up to its billing.
Says Kinsman, "The airport will be a useful thing to
have. I can see the business community using it because they
have the money and will travel business class. The success
of that airport depends on the nature of aircraft that will
be used and international flight connectivity from Muscat
or Dubai. Ideally, a regular service using a 30-50 seater
plane will make a lot of sense."
Gowribalan reiterates Kinsman's belief, saying the success
of the airport will depend on the kind of aircraft used. He
says that since Sohar is halfway between Muscat and Dubai,
a helicopter service is not a bad idea. "I know it sounds
fancy, but that is how the service has been developed in Sao
Paolo, Brazil." Meijer thinks the airport can be developed
as one specialised for cargo and chartered flights. "The
airport may not be able to compete with Dubai or Muscat but
it can be utilised to move high-value goods like apparel or
fresh farm produce."
Growing pains
Sohar is the fastest growing city in Oman and that pace will
continue as new services crop up in and around the city. There
are other aspects to Sohar as well which could touch upon
the region's social fabric. So far the people of the city
were dependent on agriculture and fishing for their livelihood,
which will change as more people take up jobs with companies
and give up their traditional way of life.
Says Kinsman, "Sohar with the port around it will be
an industry oriented city. It is a beautiful town and the
port is unlikely to overshadow and take away from the character
of the town. The difference between the two is that Muscat
being the capital will continue to employ a large number of
people in the government sector while in Sohar it will be
the other way around." Kinsman adds, "It is okay
to say that Sohar has a marvellous future. However, the path
will not be smooth. Sohar's culture and the circumstances
of its people will change dramatically over a short period
of time. And accommodating the changes will not be easy. For
example, there are many large families with low incomes. One
or two members of a family will win jobs and they will earn
several times their earlier salaries. They will be the primary
earners and this will raise questions about whether the individual's
or family's priorities come first. These are potential social
issues and the community needs to recognise this and start
planning forward."
Meijer has a different view. "Omani culture is very tolerant.
Of course people think it is great to have LuLu and Home Centre,
but Sohar is unlikely to turn into another Dubai." Room
for everyone But with more and more middle class and management
level executives moving into the city and making it their
new home, the needs of expat and Omani families like housing,
schools, hospitals, restaurants and other aspects of social
life have to be taken into account.
Rents that were on the rise for the last year or so are likely
to abate once fresh supply of apartments come online. In fact,
there are a series of property developments that are coming
up. The Saud Bahwan Palm Gardens, comprising 149 villas and
288 deluxe apartments, is slated for completion in May this
year. Another leading developer, Majan Gulf Properties, will
create a residential complex comprising 570 units.
With the city taking a distinctly business profile, corporate
executives will soon be able to use the facilities of Crowne
Plaza Sohar. "A soft opening is scheduled for July end
or early August," informs Harish Neel, sales director,
Crowne Plaza Sohar. The hotel will feature 126 rooms, including
six suites equipped with Wi-fi Internet access and a 24-hour
business centre. "The soft launch entails the opening
of one floor comprising 44 rooms and one or two restaurants.
Overall the hotel will have six restaurants, including a sports
bar and a Mediterranean restaurant. Apart from this the hotel
will feature a la carte and buffet dining, a 24-hour coffee
shop and a patisserie."
Guests can keep themselves occupied at the outdoor swimming
pool, ten-pin bowling alleys, health club and sauna and massage
facilities. A banquet hall capable of holding nearly 300 guests
will make it possible to conduct big functions and meetings.
"Some of the issues in Sohar are not issues at all. Problems
like rents, schools and entertainment are essentially growth
problems and will eventually be solved," says Gowribalan.
Looking ahead
There is no doubt that the sultanate's bold move to develop
Sohar as a maritime and industrial hub has paid off. Says
Meijer, “When we conceived the project in 1999, we had expected
only 50 per cent of the area to be occupied by 2010. But the
response has been overwhelming. Now we are looking ahead to
2043." SIPC's mandate set out in July 2002 was further
enlarged in November last year when the government extended
the existing concession agreement to 2043. The new concession
extends the port authority's area from 2,000 hectares at present
to over 6,000 hectares. It also facilitates the joint development
and management of future bulk facilities as well as the Sohar
Special Economic Zone and other future projects. “Sohar is
going to be much bigger and more exciting, and will have a
big influence on the region,” says Meijer.
SIPC's mandate was enlarged in November last year
when the government extended the concession agreement
to 2043 . |
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